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2022 NFL Week 4 Spoilers

nfl-week-4-spoilers

The 2022 NFL season has had plenty of wild games, crazy upsets and low scoring affairs... and it feels like it all happened in week 3!

Who would have picked Indy upsetting Kansas City, or Jacksonville blowing out anybody - let alone the Chargers?

It's just another example of how you can't 100% predict the NFL... but that's not going to stop me from trying!


Last Week's Record: 7-9


2022 Season Record: 26-22


Lock of the Week: 0-3


Upset of the Week: 1-2


Exact Scores Predicted: 0



Best Fantasy Advice: Start WR Devonta Smith, 30 ppr pts (8 rec 169 yds 1 td)


Worst Fantasy Advice: Start QB Jared Goff, 13 fantasy pts (25/41 277 yds 1 td 1 int)

nfl-week-4-spoilers
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Miami (3-0) @ Cincinnati (1-2)

Miami looks like a legit playoff team with an exciting offense with quick strike ability... however both of their recent wins feel a bit fluky and I think their luck runs out on Thursday night.

Joe Burrow returns to form at home against a middle of the pack defense and Cincy's pass rush gets to Tua a few times in a close game.

Bengals, 28-24


Minnesota (2-1) @ New Orleans (1-2)

The Vikings need to get Justin Jefferson back on track, and one would think facing off with Marshon Lattimore is the opposite of what you'd want. Running back Dalvin Cook has a dislocated shoulder so we'll see if he can play, but I do believe Alexander Mattison will step up in a huge way if Cook can't go.

Jameis Winston hasn't looked great, but first round rookie Chris Olave has stepped up in a major way this year.

I have this one as a small shootout, with Cousins coming out on top.

Vikings, 30-20


Cleveland (2-1) @ Atlanta (1-2)

Both teams have played surprisingly competent so far. Jacoby Brissett is holding it down until Deshaun Watson returns while Marcus Mariota is performing better than he did back in Tennessee.

Despite the recent Myles Garrett car accident, this Browns defense has enough talent to hold Mariota to under 20 points as the Browns move to 3-1.

Browns, 24-16


Buffalo (2-1) @ Baltimore (2-1)

This game smells like ab upset to me, but I don't believe we'll see Buffalo handed a surprise loss two weeks in a row.

With the elite Stefon Diggs along with touchdown machine Gabe Davis, speedster Isaiah McKenzie and veteran slot receiver Jamison Crowder, Josh Allen should have his way with Baltimore's terrible secondary.

Lamar and the offense should put up points themselves, but Buffalo sports a top tier defense, holding the Ravens back from scoring enough to win.

Bills, 34-27

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Washington (1-2) @ Dallas (2-1)

"Holy crap Cooper Rush is winning more than Dak Prescott!" is the current narrative surrounding the Cowboys. Rush has definitely played solid so far (averaging 225 yards in his two starts, and a 64% completion rate with two touchdowns and no turnovers).

The Dallas defense has also stepped up their game big time this year, generating constant pressure on the opposing quarterback... which is just the ticket to throwing off Carson Wentz and picking up their third consecutive win.

Cowboys, 20-17


Seattle (1-2) @ Detroit (1-2)

Detroit nearly upset Minnesota last week, and D'Andre Swift is likely out with a shoulder sprain.

Jared Goff is another average quarterback who has been balling out this year (7 touchdowns to two picks in three games). He and Amon-Ra St. Brown have had the best connection Detroit has seen since Stafford to Megatron a decade ago.

Geno Smith has played decently too, but I just can't see the Seattle offense hanging with Detroit.

Lions, 24-19


Tennessee (1-2) @ Indianapolis (1-1-1)

This is probably the least exciting of the week (so naturally it will be a 53-50 final score, right?). I honestly had a tough time picking the winner, but I'm going with Derrick Henry leading Tennessee's offense to a low scoring win on the road against a division rival.

Titans, 17-13


LA Chargers (1-2) @ Houston (0-2-1)

I know, the Chargers are coming off a blowout loss to the Jaguars of all teams... but I think Brandon Staley is able to snap their offense back into gear, with Keenan Allen likely returning to the starting lineup.

Houston shows ability in spurts, but L.A.'s weaponry will prove to be a bit too much.

Chargers, 31-17

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Chicago (2-1) @ New York Giants (2-1)

The Bears simply can't get anything going offensively, and currently rank 30th when it comes to stopping the run game.

Unfortunately for Chicago, Saquon Barkley is back to being Saquon Barkley. He's going to run all over this Chicago defense and there's nothing they can do to stop him.

Giants, 21-13


Jacksonville (2-1) @ Philadelphia (3-0)

My pick for Game of the Week is the Doug Pederson revenge game.

Philadelphia is undoubtedly the best team in the NFC, and is probably a Super Bowl favorite at this point of the season. Jalen Hurts has shown tremendous improvement in the passing game, and it definitely helps to have a stud like A.J. Brown, tight end Dallas Goedert and breakout receiver Devonta Smith (called it!). The defense has been absolutely top tier as well.

The Jaguars have been surprising as they currently sit in first place in the AFC South at 2-1. Trevor Lawrence will face his biggest test to date, heading into Philadelphia. He will put up a valiant effort, but end up coming just short. The Eagles are just too good of a team.

Eagles, 27-24


New York Jets (1-2) @ Pittsburgh (1-2)

I really wanted to pick the Steelers in this spot, but there are just too many issues in Pittsburgh right now. To name a few, they have a very poor offensive coordinator in Matt Canada, the offensive line is putrid, Mitch Trubisky is merely average (although the previous two points definitely don't help) and they lack any real spark in the T.J. Watt-less pass rush or in the secondary.

Honestly, New York doesn't have to do much to win this game - actually "not lose the game" would be more accurate.

Jets, 23-16


Arizona (1-2) @ Carolina (1-2)

These two offenses seem to be completely opposite of one another, with the Cardinals always having the possibility to break out and be exciting, while the Panthers just stumble to find their way every week.

Carolina has a pretty good defense (allowing more than 16 points just once this year), but Kyler Murray is a more dynamic and overall better quarterback than any of the three this defense has shut down this year.

Here is a fun stat brought to my attention from my friend Charlie: "During Matt Rhule's tenure as their coach, they are 1-25 when their opponents score 17 points". That is nuts to think about and just shows how incompetent Rhule is as a head coach. Kyler will put up big points on Carolina and we'll once again see Baker come up short.

Cardinals, 31-21

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New England (1-2) @ Green Bay (2-1)

Did we witness the resurgence of Green Bay as they took down Tom Brady and the Bucs?

I say no, but that confidence booster could be just what they need to get hot.

Patriots quarterback Mac Jones is "doubtful" to play as of the time of this writing (high ankle sprain) and I don't expect him to.

Honestly that's all you need to know about this game. Romeo Doubs looks like Aaron Rodger's new favorite target (8 targets, 8 catches for 73 yards and a score last week) and I believe they will handle business relatively easily this week.

Packers, 28-13


Denver (2-1) @ Las Vegas (0-3)

As a Broncos fan, I want to keep my bias out of my picks. But I can't let my pessimism slide this week. Most would simply look at the teams and their records then quickly dismiss this game as a Denver win.

However, I know how tough the Raiders play Denver every year - especially when the Broncos are the road team.

Vegas isn't bad enough talent wise to be 0-3. In a similar vein, the Broncos haven't performed well enough to be a 2-1 team - simply lucked out with the beginning of their schedule.

The Raiders will pull out this win without a doubt in my mind. It pains me to say it, but Josh McDaniels wins his first revenge game.

Raiders, 27-20


Kansas City (2-1) @ Tampa Bay (2-1)

I don't know what's going on with Tom Brady this year, but no matter how good his defense is, Tampa won't go anywhere until he steps up his own game.

The Chiefs were caught by surprise by the Colts last week, but they'll be fully focus in week 4 as Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs take down Brady and the Bucs in convincing fashion.

Chiefs, 30-9


LA Rams (2-1) @ San Francisco (1-2)

The Monday night game should be a close battle. Jimmy Garoppolo didn't look as good as many thought last week in their 11-10 loss to the Broncos. Luckily their opponent has been up and down this year as well.

The entire NFC West a very up in the air division at the moment, with no team truly pulling away.

I believe the Rams will take the next step in doing so, they they sneak away with a division win on the road.

Rams, 20-17

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Fantasy Starts:

- Rb Khalil Herbert, Bears: @ Giants

David Montgomery is currently banged up with ankle and knee injuries and Herbert filled in incredibly last week (157 rushing yards, two scores) and should see a similar workload if Montgomery is out.

Even if he's starting against the Giants this week, it's nearly a guarantee that the work will be split 50/50 with Herbert, if not greater in the backup's favor.


- Rb Jamaal Williams, Lions: vs Seahawks

In a similar situation to Herbert, D'Andre Swift is likely to miss time for few weeks while he heals up from his shoulder sprain. Williams is going to be the primary ball carrier/pass catching back and has shown he's more than capable of putting up good numbers in a starting role.

nfl-week-4-spoilers

Fantasy Sits:

- Qb Carson Wentz, Commanders: @ Cowboys

Just two weeks after suggesting Wentz as a fantasy start, I'm saying you need to sit him. The Dallas Cowboys are a top defense (11th overall, 4th vs the pass) who should make fantasy players worry about starting quarterbacks against them (unless they're one of the high end guys, of course).

Wentz should be a solid starter for you most of the time, but Micah Parsons leads a ferocious pass rush who will destroy quarterback fantasy points.


- Wr D.J. Moore, Panthers: vs Cardinals

Baker Mayfield's arrival in Carolina was supposed to be the major upgrade that boosts D.J. Moore into "elite" wide receiver territory. Unfortunately the switch from Sam Darnold to Mayfield looks more like a downgrade.

If you have Moore in fantasy, you are unfortunate enough to know of the abysmal performance through the first three games (7 catches 88 yards and one score in total).

Now, there's a chance of a breakout performance with the 30th ranked pass defense coming to town, but based on how Mayfield and Moore have looked so far, I wouldn't get my hopes up.

Game of the Week:

Eagles 27, Jaguars 24


Lock of the Week:

Chiefs 30, Bucs 9


Upset of the Week:

Jets 23, Steelers 16


Player of the Week:

Rb Saquon Barkley, Giants: vs Bears

24 rsh 175 yds 2 td

3 rec 32 yds



Favorite point spread:

Chiefs (-2.0) @ Bucs

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