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2022 NFL Week 11 Spoilers


We saw some very surprising results last week. At least three teams were upset in what looked to many like sure-fire victories. Buffalo fell to Minnesota in overtime, in what has to be one of the best games in the last few years. Dallas was bested in overtime as well, by Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers, and the previously 8-0 Eagles lost to the division rival Washington Commanders in a gamed filled with referee controversy.

As for my picks, I went a solid 8-6 but lost another Lock of the Week. Let's see if I can get back on track here in week 11!

Last Week's Record: 8-6

2022 Season Record: 88-62

Lock of the Week: 5-5

Upset of the Week: 4-6

Exact Scores Predicted: 0

Best Fantasy Advice: Sit QB Matthew Stafford, N/A (Did Not Play)

Worst Fantasy Advice: Sit RB Aaron Jones, 22 ppr pts (138 rsh yds 1 td, 2 rec 18 yds)


Tennessee (6-3) @ Green Bay (4-6)

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The Titans have an awful pass defense. They have allowed multi huge games through the air this season, plus Aaron Rodgers may have found his new favorite target.

It will be close, but I think Green Bay wins their second straight game at home.

Packers, 28-24

Chicago (3-7) @ Atlanta (4-6)

This game should be full of rushing stats from Chicago. David Montgomery and quarterback Justin Fields will have a day on the ground.

This necessarily means less time of possession for Atlanta in a relatively low scoring battle.

Bears, 23-13

Carolina (3-7) @ Baltimore (6-3)

The Ravens are coming off a bye week well rested and welcome a putrid Panthers team into their home. Baker Mayfield has shown flashes throughout his career, but is turnover prone and will be far from good enough to compete with a rising Baltimore Ravens who should make an impact come playoff time.

Ravens, 30-20

Cleveland (3-6) @ Buffalo (6-3)

The Bills lost a heart breaker in by far the game of the year against Minnesota. Josh Allen has been showing flashes of his younger self with those interceptions, but Cleveland isn't nearly as talented a team as those Vikings. They won't blow out the Browns like we're used to, but a win is a win considering Buffalo's current two game losing streak.

Bills, 28-17


Washington (5-5) @ Houston (1-7-1)

After a major upset over Philly on Monday, Washington is riding high at .500. Taylor Heinicke shows the ability to make big plays (albeit with some mistakes as well) and he should perform well against one of the worst teams in the league, the Houston Texans.

Commanders, 27-14

Philadelphia (8-1) @ Indianapolis (4-5-1)

We just had a shocking upset Monday night, as the Commanders became the first team to take down the Eagles this season. I could see people thinking Philly might begin to slip up, but the Colts are about to get pounded by a squad who was just another team to get screwed over by missed calls from the refs.

Eagles, 31-10

NY Jets (6-3) @ New England (5-4)

Some of my picks are just an instinct prediction - and this is one of them. I fully believe the Jets have the better team, but can't help but think Belichick is going to have something up his sleeve for their rematch.

The game is in New England and they have won 4 of their last 5 games (this includes a 22-17 win over the Jets three weeks ago). It will be a close game, but Zach Wilson will throw multiple bad picks and the Pats sneak away with a 2022 sweep of the Jets.

Patriots, 24-21

LA Rams (3-6) @ New Orleans (3-7)

The Rams are done. Cooper Kupp went down to injury and if Matthew Stafford plays, most fans have very little faith in the veteran.

New Orleans has played much better than the Rams have (despite both teams on multiple game losing streaks) and have a very good pass defense as well.

Saints, 24-16


Detroit (3-6) @ NY Giants (7-2)

The Giants are right in the mix for the NFC East title and look good in doing so. Saquon Barkley is a monster and the offense has had receivers step up when needed.

Detroit constantly shows spurts of a dangerous offense (four games of scoring 31+ points) and could put up close to 30 again this week. The Giants don't have a bad defense, but it's far from a top tier unit.

I'll trust Barkley to put this game away in the end.

Giants, 34-27

Las Vegas (2-7) @ Denver (3-6)

Both of these teams have played like total garbage. While Denver has the better record, Vegas has had their number in recent years. This includes a 32-23 win over the Broncos in week 4 (shockingly that was Denver's highest scoring output of the year).

Zero faith remains for Russell Wilson and this offense in 2022, so I'll give it to the Raiders in yet another low scoring slog.

Raiders, 19-13

Dallas (6-3) @ Minnesota (8-1)

Minnesota is showing incredible resolve (and tons of good luck) en route to an 8-1 record. Now, this does include seven straight one score wins but they have looked great nonetheless.

Dallas has an elite defense, but I don't believe their offense is quite explosive enough to hang with Kirk Cousins, Dalvin Cook and Justin Jefferson.

Vikings, 27-23

Cincinnati (5-4) @ Pittsburgh (3-6)

Pittsburgh seems to be getting back to their defensive routes, with multiple sacks, interceptions and a forced fumble in their win over the Saints.

The Bengals are obviously much better than New Orleans is, but the Steelers seem to always have their number (including that shocking week 1 23-20 overtime upset). I believe the same thing will happen this week.

Steelers, 20-17


Kansas City (7-2) @ LA Chargers (5-4)

The Chiefs are a great team and are right in the mix for the AFC's 1 seed. Prior to the season, we'd expect this battle to be an exciting and high scoring affair.

The scary hit on Juju Smith-Schuster definitely hurts, but Mahomes and the offense should have no problem scoring on the 23rd ranked defense.

Chiefs, 42-20

San Francisco (5-4) @ Arizona (4-6)

The 49ers bring a great defense and top tier rushing attack into Arizona on Monday night. These teams know each other well, but there's only so much Kliff Kingsbury can do.

They are outmatched all over the field. The 49ers have so many offensive weapons for Jimmy G, including Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk, George Kittle, Christian McCaffrey and Elijah Mitchell.

Colt McCoy is a fine backup for Kyler Murray's absence, but the Cardinals simply can't keep pace with that.

49ers, 27-14


Miami Dolphins (7-3)

Seattle Seahawks (6-4)

Tampa Bay Bucs (5-5)

Jacksonville Jaguars (3-7)


Fantasy Starts:

- QB Aaron Rodgers, Packers: vs Titans

Rodgers isn't back to his prime self obviously, but he seems to have developed a connection with rookie speedster Christian Watson.

Last week's 3 touchdown game combined with Tennessee's 31st ranked pass defense, should equate to a solid fantasy football performance for Mr. Rodgers.

- Saints Defense: vs Rams

The Rams are a reliable opponent for defenses to put up nice fantasy points. This offense is terrible and turnover prone, not to mention a porous offensive line.

The Saints have the 12th ranked defense, which is going to mean money for players who start this defense.


Fantasy Sits:

- QB Marcus Mariota, Falcons: vs Bears

Marcus Mariota has a nice rushing floor for fantasy purposes, but Chicago has improved defensively as of late. This one should turn out to a game full of productivity from running backs David Montgomery (with Khalil Herbert recently being placed on IR). Mariota won't have production, nor the time of possession to help out in fantasy.

- RB James Conner, Cardinals: vs 49ers

Arizona shocked many (erm, at least myself) with the release of running back Eno Benjamin. This SHOULD mean more work for Conner.

Unfortunately, I just don't feel like he's a very good player (I actually like Eno more). San Francisco has the best rush defense in the league, and Conner hasn't had a 100 yard rushing game all season.

I believe he will be a bust this week.

Game of the Week:

Vikings 27, Cowboys 23

Lock of the Week:

Ravens 30, Panthers 20

Upset of the Week:

Steelers 20, Bengals 17

Player of the Week:
Te Travis Kelce, Chiefs: @ Chargers
12 rec 147 yds 2 td

Favorite point spread:

Cowboys @ Vikings (+1.0)

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