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Judge's payday is coming, but when? Will he get another 1-year deal with a raise? Or a long-term contract?


Aaron Judge, 29 agreed to play this season for 1-year for $10,175,000. The 6'7" Yankees outfielder who can play all three positions in the outfield, has one more year of arbitration then becomes a free agent in 2023

You have to ask yourself what will the talented outfielder who not only hits for power but can field and throw well above average be worth considering the Padres 22-year-old shortstop Fernando Tatis got a ridiculous 14 year, $340,000,000 deal and Lindor 28, got a more puzzling $341 million over 10 years from the Mets.

Tatis has put up big numbers 42 HRs 97 RBIs and is batting .282. Lindor has been a disappointment batting a mere .230 with 20 HRs and 63 RBIs. Granted, he missed 5-weeks with an oblique strain, but .230 is disappointing.

Judge's best year was his rookie season when he then set a rookie HR record with 52, since broken by the Mets Pete Alonso with 53. That year he drove in 114 runs to go with a very respectable .284 average. Since that incredible rookie season, he's been injured often.

In 2019 he played in just 102 games and hit 27 HRs, drove in 55 runs, and batted .272. In 2018 he played 112 games batting .278, hit 27 HRs and drove in 67 runs.

So what will the Yankees humble and likable giant be worth considering Harper got $330 million and Trout $430 million both for 12 years a few years back?

It comes down to health and putting up the big numbers such as; 30+ HRs driving in 100+ runs and batting I'd say .275 or better. And Judge did that this season via 39 HRs 98 RBIs and batting .287.

If so, I don't see the Yankees watching him go elsewhere. He's an easy $100 million-plus player. The question will be; for how many years and how much over that $100 million dollar mark does he gets paid?

Judge will be 31 when he becomes an unrestricted free agent in 2023. So a 5-7 year big $ is likely vs. a 10-year deal.

Judge is on track to join the big moneymakers. The big question is how much is he worth? I say it's safe to figure $150 million over 5-6 years considering DJ LeMahieu got $90 million guaranteed over 6 years. Or if he's not offered a long-term contract in 2022, then making $20 million-plus on a 1-year next season is to be expected.

I just can't see the Yankees let him walk away. He's too talented as well as a big fan favorite. And Judge himself has made it clear; he wants to be a Yankee for life.


CJ Kelly from the PNW on March 18, 2018:

I read about his contract this week and was shocked. With the strongest union in sports, you would think the MLBPA would have a mechanism for first-time arbitration. I'm sure they will renegotiate this in the next bargaining sessions. But his payday will come soon.

Nice job.

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