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The Strategic Balance of Middle East

Middle East

Middle East Strategic Map

Middle East Strategic Map

The Strategic Balance of Middle East and Tricky Nature of Conflicts in Current Scenarios

The current situation in the Middle East is going to be interesting. Especially when vicinities of Israel-Arabs are spiked. No doubt the geographical picture of the Middle East manifested its importance. While the big bosses of the world completely monitored every vibration of the region. Alliances, animosities, and diplomatic effects that created them will clear in the future. Arab-Israel tartness is reducing its pace while another tartness ballooned, which is Arab Iran and Turkey's tartness. Now talking about the big bosses, the Soviet Union has Dissolved, China and Russia have replaced it, and the opposition which is the USA and Europe stood on their grounds. The big bosses monitored and influence their pawns and pawns aline their strategic objectives with their bosses to dominate the Middle East. There are two important weapons of this Middle East Strategic Dominance which are;

  1. Regular Armies
  2. Proxies

So, these weapons are for tactical, strategic gains. The ultimate form of these two gains is diplomatic victory. But without the support, they are nothing. What these supporting elements are? Here we discussed them:

  1. Robust Economy
  2. Effective Military Might
  3. Access toward Advanced Technology
  4. Geography
  5. Geopolitics
  6. Diplomacy and Alliances
  7. Style of Government
  8. Culture

These are the pillars of the pivot of strategic balance in the region. Big bosses through their pawns, always trying to take the balance into their favour. However, these elements showed their full potential in war times. In the current circumstances, Turkey, Israel, and Iran are three active players. In the historic preview, Arabs fought all of them, the pawns and big bosses all over the world directly and indirectly.

  1. Robust Economy:

Now, the first point is the robust economy so strategic balance first pillar and as a whole, the Middle Eastern economy comprises 3.7 trillion dollars. All major Arab countries, Turkey, Israel, and Iran are the main influencers of the Middle Eastern economy and economic structure. OPEC has also given them a complete economic influential structure over the world economy. Anyway, this is another topic, in a strategic point of view a term used we called it "Spectrum of War" in the colours of the spectrum " Rousted Economy" is shown as " Cost of Conflict". Now here comes the weapons as above mention:

  1. Regular Armies
  2. Proxies

The cost of conflict is different in two scenarios:

  1. Regular Warfare
  2. Irregular Warfare

The spectrum of conflict is a system itself of military sciences it is not our discussion. Our discussion is a robust economy that handles the cost of conflict. Now moving towards the first active player, which is Israel.

Previously, we are talking about the Middle East Strategic Balance and all the elements that hold that balance first pillar are the Robust Economy, and the first active player Israel and how in all conflicts Israel cover its cost of conflict? 14 conflicts where Israel is being involved and 5 are where Isreal fought with regular armies and in remaining 9 Israel fought with proxies. The cost of conflict of Isreal which spend by Israel on two things:

  1. Advanced Technology
  2. Strong Military Might

This is good for fighting with a regular army, but with proxies, it depends on chances as most noteworthy proxy wars as Vietnam War and Soviet-Afghan war are fought by powerful armies against proxies. In the west bank and Lebanon, the story is the same: a powerful military is fighting with some improper groups of insurgents. In 5 conflicts against the regular armies, Israel's strategic gain is far greater than the cost of conflict. In 5 conflicts, there is one war which is the 1982 Lebanon War; Israel fought against a proxy and army same time. The Syrian Arab Army and PLO are two opponents in the 1982 Lebanon War. In regular wars, the strategic gains gave Israel three dominances:

  1. Geographical Dominance
  2. Geopolitical Dominance
  3. Diplomatic Dominance

Respectively the cost of conflicts in 1948,1967,1970,1973 and 1982 are:

  1. 300 Million Dollars
  2. 1 Billion Dollars
  3. 300 Million Dollars
  4. 5-6 Billion Dollars
  5. 1.1 Billion Dollars

But the gains are more profitable than the cost, as results will show their colours in the future, as Israeli acceptance in the Arab world will happen sharply than the world thinks. We divided the economy into two sections:

  1. Internal Economic Factors
  2. Allies Participation,

Here are six major sectors of Israel's economy;

  1. Agriculture Sector
  2. Financial Institution and Services,
  3. High-Technology Sector
  4. Power Sector
  5. Industrial Sector
  6. Tourism Industry.

These are the bloodstreams of the Israeli economy. In regular war, these are also the chook points of the Israeli economy because first enemies hit the industries and power plants of Israel with military targets and high commands in Israel than the rest of economic sectors fell one by one. In all regular conflicts, Israel proved a hard nut to crack. Now we are moving toward key elements of cost of conflict:

  1. Economic
  2. Social
  3. Political
  4. Military
  5. Environmental
  6. and Diplomatic

No doubt Israel suffered enormous cost in all 6 points. In regular wars, the strategic gains are larger than enormous which Israel had earned in the wars. Three gains which Israel has taken from the previous 5 regular wars:

  1. Territorial and Geographical gain
  2. Geo-Political and International Recognition
  3. Diplomatic and New Alliances

Now we discussed the economy and cost of conflict with the strategic gains which Israel has materialized. First, the political leadership of Israel decided when to fight a war. The war is a rational game or activity no one can unnecessarily imaginative and glorify it. In 1948 and 1967 the Israeli establishment very wisely to choose to fight with the help of strong diplomacy and reliable alliances, as the biggest economic aid came from the USA and this aid flourishes its economic structure through these aid programs by aligning their strategic goals and benefits also cause in the reduction of cost of conflict. Because the strategic gains are much bigger than the cost. Israel would recover the cost in a matter of time where strategic gains remain through a lifetime. In regular war, the numbers only create a difference from one to another army. As arrow vs. arrow, sword vs. sword, and shield vs. shield, so the cost of conflict also be differentiated based on the number, that's why we mentioned that benefits are more than humongous

© 2020 nomi haider

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