Donald is an Education and Social Researcher. He works as a freelance researcher, writer, and editor.
The 2020 Presidential Campaigns
The outcome of the 2020 election in the United States will prove a tipping point in international politics. Shortly after Trump's first term victory, drastic policy changes were made on core issues related to environment and sustainable development. Moving forward, climate change matters as never before. It remains one of the threatening problems in our world.
Unlike his first term, Trump's second term victory will have extreme and durable effects on America and its diplomatic partners. Trumpism is a political aberration that overtook American, with a quest to make it great. However, the aftermath of his victory has shown us that the effects are dire, and if not checked, it may threaten democracy around the world.
As the campaigns continue, it is evident that Trump has won the psychological war. Many voters have already resolved to vote for him, and if things remain as they are, his victory is imminent. On the other hand, when we take a glance over global politics, there are many things that America remains influential.
As we enter the 2020 presidential election campaigns' home stretch, and with minimal foreign policy discussions, the contest is basically centered on domestic issues (Nye, 2020). If Trump wins, people will ask whether his presidency was a significant turning point in America's role in global politics.
Lessons from History
History is replete with lessons of what isolationism can cause. In the 1930s, Franklin D. Roosevelt experienced the mistakes of America's isolation. He then created a liberal internal policy in 1945, which helped America recover its world politics. The turning point in American dominance in global politics started with the decision by Harry S. Truman. His policies and executive decisions led to permanent alliances that have lasted for decades. Through the influence of the United States, the Marshall Plan was formed in 1948, and the following year NATO was formed in 1949. Truman's influence also led to the United Nations coalition that participated in the Korean War in 1950.
Over the years, Americans have been divided based on political affiliations. The United States has also had rivalries with other countries, especially after intervening in wars like Iraq and Vietnam.
The liberal constitutional order was embraced until 2016 when President Trump was nominated as a candidate for the Republican side. During his first term, Trump has been very skeptical about international intervention. Although his administration has increased the defense budget, the forces have been used sparingly.
Trump's Foreign Policy and Geopolitical Perspective
The anti-interventionism is very popular within the Trump administration. His skeptical perspective about international relations is not a reflection of what the majority wants for the country. The Chicago Council on Global Affairs has a survey and sought Americans' opinions on whether the United should participate in global affairs. It was observed that more than 64% of Americans support the United States' participation in international mediation (Nye, 2020).
Trump's election was based on his populist ideology and appealing to citizens that he will alleviate the impacts of the 2008 Great Recession. Moreover, Trump capitalized on the polarizing issues regarding cultural changes related to race, women's role, and gender identity. Although he failed to win the popular votes in 2016, Trump has succeeded linked white resentment to the increasing visibility of racial and ethnic minorities. Moreover, his foreign policy has been focused on blaming the economic challenges to bad trade policies and immigration. Based on an expert review of his administration approach to pertinent issues, Trump lacked strategy. His decisions on foreign policy were majorly driven by domestic politics and personal ambitions (Sile, 2016).
The Trump administration has been a turning point in global politics. His influence on international politics is transformational. The current longstanding debate affirms that major historical events result from the decisions of politicians. Social and economic forces may influence the circumstances, but the actions of politicians are paramount.
Politicians are like drivers of the vehicle of progress, and every decision they make remains an unerasable part of history. Leaders and their decision matter, and Trump’s second term victory will significantly affect world politics. Trump has been observed as a leader without self-control and contextual insight. His decisions are made without considering the implication on America’s position of international politics.
When he wins his second, the American influence and leadership in the world will significantly collapse. The world will experience the most devastating geopolitical recession in history.
Nye, J. S. (2020, September 1). Is Trump a Turning Point in World Politics? Retrieved from https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/trump-legacy-for-world-politics-by-joseph-s-nye-2020-08
Sile, A. W. (2016, November 9). President Trump hurts US globally, risks geopolitical recession, says Ian Bremmer. Retrieved from https://www.cnbc.com/2016/11/09/president-trump-hurts-us-globally-risks-geopolitical-recession-says-eurasias-ian-bremmer.html
This content reflects the personal opinions of the author. It is accurate and true to the best of the author’s knowledge and should not be substituted for impartial fact or advice in legal, political, or personal matters.
© 2020 Donald Ngonyo
How do you think Trump's Victory will affect America's geopolitical influence?
Ken Burgess from Florida on September 09, 2020:
A great article, some interesting things to consider.
When you wrote:
"The Chicago Council on Global Affairs has a survey and sought Americans' opinions on whether the United should participate in global affairs. It was observed that more than 64% of Americans support "
I think you are misunderstanding what that entails, the majority of Americans do want "anti-interventionism" we don't want war and we don't want our troops deployed to hostile lands unendingly (IE - Afghanistan).
Americans do want things like the Paris Accord, well, they want what they are told the Paris Accord meant... not sure they would support all that it actually was going to do.
Trump has not endeared himself to the Military Complex, as he has started no new wars, he has been a problem for China's expansionistic agendas, he has slowed the progress of UN and WB globalization agendas... so yeah he has a lot of powerful enemies.
But those actions are in fact what Americans want... they don't want war, they don't want China taking over, and they don't want to lose their jobs because of strict "green regulations".
Donald Ngonyo (author) from Nairobi, Kenya on September 09, 2020:
Thank you. The point is that his policies have greatly affected how America relates with its global partners
Eric Dierker from Spring Valley, CA. U.S.A. on September 09, 2020:
Interesting you write this just as he is nominated for a Nobel prize for his work on peace. Seems many see it as opposite to your view.
A very well written piece here and an interesting read.
Esctacy Artistry from Florida on September 08, 2020:
I agree on a lot of points in this post. I do believe if Trump wins again it will be the downfall of America and its trades worldwide, but not necessarily the worlds economy as a whole. I have hope that the American people would not vote him in a second time. It will ruin America's standing. Trump has already ruined America's reputation significantly. (Not that our rep was the best to begin with.)