This article is on researched and reality based according to current situation in Afghanistan.
Agreement Between Taliban And US
For the first time in history, the Taliban, US and British troops shed blood in a terrorist attack, and that too before the August 31 deadline for the withdrawal of US and NATO troops and others. The second attack was being predicted, with US drone strikes in Nangarhar claiming to have eliminated ISIS-K plots.
In each case, they have seized it, despite obstacles we can scarcely imagine and in this war, the warriors of the previous war seem to be becoming allies against their will.
The United States and its allies have kept their promise to withdraw troops despite the Doha Agreement with the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan, while the second clause of the agreement states that the Taliban will not allow Afghan territory to be used for terrorism against any country. Even before implementation begins, the Taliban face the same challenge as the United States and its allies have faced for 20 years.
In the second clause of the Doha agreement, the United States and the Taliban seem to be coming together at the beginning. The Taliban are being consulted at the international level on what will happen next. If the Taliban cannot stop other terrorist groups from carrying out global terrorism, then the world powers will do what they did against ISIS in Iraq and Syria in 2014.
Role Of TTA & TTP
The Tehreek-e-Taliban Afghanistan (TTA) is an Afghan Islamic extremist organization whose leaders are still listed as terrorists by the United Nations and various countries, including the Haqqanis in charge of security in Kabul. The Afghan Taliban and the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) have such a close relationship that every Amir and current Amir Mufti Noor Wali has pledged allegiance to every Taliban Amir. Thus, they are LEGALLY compelled to obey every order of the Afghan Taliban leader.
Contrary to what and how much the Afghan Taliban was supposed to be the proxy for Islamabad, the TTP waged a long war against Pakistan's involvement in the US war on terror and ravaged the entire country for many years. Kept How can the Afghan Taliban hand over their proxy TTP against Pakistan when the doors of two international jihadist organizations, Al Qaeda and the Islamic State of Khurasan, are open for the Mujahideen of the stateless TTP.
Role Of ISIS
ISIS had established a caliphate in the wider areas of Iraq and Syria, the size of which was equal to that of Britain. In Afghanistan, he set up camp in Nangarhar and other provinces. Now its emir is Shehab Al-Muhajir. In the months leading up to the US withdrawal, 8,000 to 10,000 jihadist fighters had entered Uighur Afghanistan in the Central Asian states, Russia's North Caucasus, Pakistan and China's Xinjiang province, according to a June UN report.
Some of them joined the Taliban and most of the Islamic State of Khurasan. The Taliban has close ties to al-Qaeda in addition to the TTP, but the Islamic State of Khurasan is branding the Taliban as US agents and fighting them. It has also been joined by some angry Taliban fighters who, like ISIS in Khurasan, do not believe in nationality but in global jihad
Chances Of War Between Taliban & US
A new torment has now arisen for the United States and IS Khorasan has declared war on the United States and the Taliban with the August 26 major terrorist attack. As a result of this attack, the Afghan Taliban are in a big dilemma. On the one hand, they will be forced to form a broader government with Afghanistan's other major political parties, because whoever stays out will take the path of civil war.
The Taliban desperately needs international acceptance and support. It was a successful armed movement, but to run a changed Afghanistan, it would need the raw state machinery that the United States and its allies have built over twenty years. This will only be possible if the Islamic Emirate recognizes the difficult conditions of the international community and respects the rights of modern Afghan elements, especially women.
On the other hand, the more the Afghan Taliban move towards reconciliation, which is their objective compulsion, the more alienated and angry they will be with the more extremist elements in their ranks. The factionalism within them will increase, which will benefit ISIS Khurasan and Al Qaeda.
If they increase the pressure on the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), they too will mostly move towards ISIS Khurasan. The land of Afghanistan is very fertile for the jihadists and historically Afghanistan has been sticking to its old ways. The war economy is a major source of this, and tribal strife has undermined the national destiny of Afghans. One war ended, another war began. The rest of Afghanistan, the rest of Kehsar!
This content reflects the personal opinions of the author. It is accurate and true to the best of the author’s knowledge and should not be substituted for impartial fact or advice in legal, political, or personal matters.
© 2021 Imran Shahid