It was 70-years ago that the Japanese had conducted a surprise attack upon America at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. While at that time, it was not a state, it was an American outpost where much of the Pacific fleet was based. The attack had been planned and practiced for several years before it actually was done. There were variations of the final plan that General Yamamoto proposed. He wanted to invade the island with up to 5000 men, which would have cause a disaster for the US, even more so than just an air attack. Luckily, this was cancelled due to the long transit time from Japan ( a week). The attack forced America into WW2.
Today, America and Japan are solid allies and the recent warning Japan's MP Nagayama gave is like a "canary in a mining cave" saying that Russia and China have been cooperating in naval exercises and the very recent Russian exercise of over 20 ships off the waters of Hawaii should raise concern. That exercise was carefully monitored but Russia was testing its weapons and trying to sink a carrier with their missiles from hundreds of miles away. The fact that a US carrier WAS in the Hawaiian waters off Kauai and the scrambling off F-22's from Hickam AFB on Hawaii to ward off Russian bombers seemed to raise the seriousness. This happened not once, but twice. Clearly, Russia was testing Hawaii's air defenses.
While the Russian fleet has left, their spy ships remain near Hawaiian water but in International waters monitoring. It is clear that Russia is focusing on Hawaii, not just out in the middle of the Pacific. This is a practice rehearsal, at worst, or a test of American defenses and early warnings, at best. In any case, the comments of the Japanese MP Nagayama should be taken seriously and not dismiss them as highly improbable.
Nothing would be more humiliating and symbolic if Russia or China made a Pearl Harbor-like attack upon Hawaii. Of course, China and Russia could easily use their ICBMs to effect the same shock value on Guam or Hawaii, but having their aircraft attack Hawaii would be very impactful.
Hawaii and Guam are America's furthest western installations in the Pacific and would be hard to defend (especially Guam). Russia may be thinking, if can be done once, it can be done again, as a distraction and to draw US forces away from their main goal, wherever that is.
Japan's Foreign Minister has been outspoken regarding threats from China and Russia. He has also stated that if Taiwan is attacked by the Chinese to retake the renegade province (which broke off relations in 1949) and the US defends Taiwan, Japan will also defend Taiwan. This turned Chinese heads and they responded in a mocking but harsh manner. The bad blood between Japan and China runs deep and for decades, you see, Japan invaded a helpless China in WW2, taking over many areas and ironically, China's only ally then was- the USA.
- Japanese official warns US of potential surprise attack on Hawaii - from Russia and China
Russia and China are coordinating military exercises to threaten not only Taiwan but also Hawaii, according to a senior Japanese defense official who warned
This content reflects the personal opinions of the author. It is accurate and true to the best of the author’s knowledge and should not be substituted for impartial fact or advice in legal, political, or personal matters.
perrya (author) on July 08, 2021:
MG- WMD or other destructive means does not change the ultimate decision making to use them by a irrational Putin or Xi or other. It does not change their DNA, their quiet hatred or jealousy of another country. It is the end result they only care about, WMD simply makes it even easier and more tempting to those leaders wanting to bring America down from the top. One cannot change human nature,
MG Singh emge from Singapore on July 07, 2021:
My dear friend Perrya, you have not answered the point raised by me. OK, no sweat, I close discussion from my side.
perrya (author) on July 07, 2021:
Human nature is just that. Hitler, Putin, Trump, are just human and subject to decisions that make no sense . Why would hitler invade Russia after he just signed a peace treaty- it was giving them a false sense of security and in 141, he almost reached Moscow. Putin or Xi might attack Guam of Hawaii just for political gain and to show the world that the USA is not invincible. They might sink a carrier for the same reason. It makes little sense except for their deep hatred of the US and democracy.
MG Singh from UAE on July 07, 2021:
Perrya, the examples you have given are not relevant because the world's scenario is different now. At that time they were no WMD or MAD. So I maintain that what you have written is a good fantasy.
perrya (author) on July 02, 2021:
Not at all. History is filled with those who think like you-that there would be no reason etc. in 1941, Hitler and Stalin signed a peace treaty, later that month, Hitler invaded! The US never thought Japan would attack Hawaii due to distance. There are reasons that are pure symbolic for Russia or china to attack Guam or Hawaii-projection of power and to prove the US is not invincible. Those who ignore history will repeat it. The warning from the Japanese PM is just that- don't discount it because it goes against reason because Japan did it 70 yrs ago.
MG Singh emge from Singapore on July 02, 2021:
After reading this article I think you are becoming a dreamer because it does not suit China or Russia to mount any attack on Hawaii which can definitely start World War III. Your article is in the realm of fantasy. Sometimes however it is good to have a fantasy because it removes the all-around boredom.