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2020 Election: A Partial Victory For Both Sides

Joshua Hurtado has been driving for Uber Eats since August 2018. Joshua has also graduated with an Associates Degree in Paralegal Studie

The Presidential Race

The 2020 Presidential election, was a real nail biter, However, I should state that barring any legal challenges by the Trump administration being able to overturn literally thousands of votes as invalid, was a victory for the Democrats. The Democrats were able to defeat President Trump. No question, this was a big loss for the Republicans as they will not have the chance to really advance any of their policy goals on the federal level.

However, this Biden victory went largely unsupported down-ballot as the Republicans are poised to hold the majority in the Senate, and are poised to gain seats in the House of Representatives. This appears to be a result of ticket-splitting. This means that there were probably a lot of voters who voted for Biden at the top of the ticket and then voted Republican for the Senate and House races. Usually, when a Democrat wins the Presidency they come into office along with a majority in the House and the Senate.


Congress

Since the Republicans lost the Presidential race their hopes of enacting national policy have basically been eviscerated. It is important to note, however, that the federal elections were not a total loss for the Republicans and not a total victory for the Democrats. For the Democrats to have taken control of the Senate, they needed to flip four seats and they only flipped one. There is still an opportunity for the Democrats to take both of the seats in Georgia, however, that is very unlikely. The Democrats still have the majority in the U.S. House of Representatives, but it is unlikely that any major legislation will make it from the House and through the Senate if Mitch McConnell stonewalls Nancy Pelosi as he has done before the election.

One area where the Democrats will probably have the advantage is when it comes to introducing spending bills. This is because all spending bills must originate in the House of Representatives. This means that the Democrats will be able to introduce their spending bill, Biden will likely support it, and then the Republicans will likely hold it up in the Senate. However, it is unclear how long they would be willing to do so if it heads into another government shutdown. In these situations, the Republicans are usually blamed for the hold-up.

State Elections

The Democrats did not do any better on the state level either, as they have failed to flip any of the statehouses. In fact, the Republicans were able to flip the statehouses in New Hampshire. This is important in more ways than one. There is of course the fact that most people are more affected by their local laws than they are by federal laws. Another important reason is due to redistricting. Since this was a census year, redistricting will also occur and will very likely affect the makeup of the U.S. House of Representatives for several election cycles.


Why?

The only way that I am able to make sense of all this is to say that Trump was not popular in regards to his personality. However, it does seem that some of if not a lot of his policies are popular. This to me would explain why the Democrats won the White House, failed to take the Senate, maintained a majority in the House, and lost ground at the state level.

I believe that the American people did not want Trump in the White House, but they also did not want to hand all of the keys over to Biden. Keeping the Senate in Republican hands along with the majority of statehouses and governorships leaves the options available to a future Biden administration very limited.

So, from the looks of things, we will have a divided government and we are not likely to see significant changes in the form of legislation take place over the next two years and possibly longer depending on what transpires in 2022.

It is imperative that we as a country are able to remain unified and treat each other with dignity and respect regardless of who you supported, if we can not be in a place where we can at least treat each other as equals and give in to the pressures to completely humiliate or degrade our family, friends, and neighbors due to a difference in opinion then I think our future as a people will be in doubt. Voice your opinion, but be civil while doing so.

Sources:

https://ballotpedia.org/Partisan_composition_of_state_legislatures

This content reflects the personal opinions of the author. It is accurate and true to the best of the author’s knowledge and should not be substituted for impartial fact or advice in legal, political, or personal matters.

© 2020 Joshua Hurtado

Comments

Joshua Hurtado (author) from Washington State on November 10, 2020:

Hello Miranda, thank you7 for your interest in this topic.

I think it really depends, there will likely be a lot of pressure put on him by the left-wing of the Democratic party. That being said, the Democratic majority in the House has shrunk, and I do not think that a lot of legislation proposed in the House will make it through to his desk without him supporting it pretty much out of the gate.

There is also the Senate that they will have to contend with. If the Senate stays in Republican hands, I suspect that you will see a Biden administration support a lot of bills in the House that they do not think will actually have any chance of getting to his desk because they would be stopped in the Senate. But this can be a double-edged sword.

Miranda Hoepfner from Lacey, WA on November 10, 2020:

Hi Joshua. I think that this has been the most interesting election that I have been a part of. It seems that the American people are so focused on what they don't want, that they have turned to the alternative. Luckily, the senate and house seats will make the next four years more balanced and collaborative.

Thank you!

By the way, What do you think about Biden's proposed policies and do you think they will be supported by The House?